Climate change and the scientific method

Where you can see climate alarmism, you can see a crisis afflicting the individual, organisation or institution which promotes alarm much more clearly — a decline that is far more vivid than any climate change signal. Today, we see the proof of that hypothesis, in the terminal decline of The Independent newspaper. Back inthe death of The Independent was half-jokingly forecast right here on this very blogfor a little earlier than it actually happened. Here's a selection… pic.

Climate change and the scientific method

Email Sunset on Bali August 13, Climate alarmism has become the chant of the media and liberals who favor more government regulations.

Climate change and the scientific method

As Chairman of the House Science Committee, I have challenged the alarmist rhetoric and pursued the facts about climate change. The Committee follows the scientific method, which welcomes critiques, avoids exaggerated predictions, and relies on unbiased data.

Unfortunately, alarmists ignore all these principles. While I have never denied that the climate is changing, I have asked tough questions about how much the climate has changed and how much of an impact humans have had on the climate.

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Furthermore, I have supported technological innovation, rather than costly federal regulations and mandates, as the solution to a changing climate. On the other hand, climatologist Dr. Climate alarmists seek to silence those whose research raises doubts. Alarmists also violate the second tenant of the scientific method, avoiding exaggerated predictions.

Since the late s, climate scientists have told the American people that global temperatures would increase more than one degree Celsius by However, actual satellite temperature observations do not support these predictions. When the predictions are so far off, we should not make policy decisions based on them.

Much more research into the complexity of changing temperatures is needed. Furthermore, the idea that anyone can make precise predictions of what kind of climate will exist 85 or more years from now is laughable. There is simply no way to take into consideration climate variables or technological breakthroughs.

Commenting on the recent hurricanes, many climate scientists have tried to link these storms and climate change. But the historical record disproves them. Hurricane landfalls in the United States since are on a steady decline. The cost of damages from these storms, as a percentage of gross domestic product, is also shrinking.

Examination of patterns of other extreme weather events in the United States shows that a changing climate does not increase the frequency of these events. The number of recorded fires in recent years is nearly one-fourth the number of fires observed in the s.

The third tenant of the scientific method, reliance on unbiased data, is violated by climate alarmists who present the American people with suspect data to advance a political agenda. For example, some claim that the Paris Climate Accord will reduce global warming by 1.

They have barraged the American people with this falsehood to garner support for the deal.Climate alarmists seek to silence those whose research raises doubts.

Instead of claiming that “the science is settled,” alarmists should welcome new research that furthers the science of climate change. Alarmists also violate the second tenant of the scientific method, avoiding exaggerated predictions.

Scientists may disagree about certain aspects of climate change, but this is part of the scientific process, not a sign that a theory is inaccurate.

As new facts come to light, science adjusts its theory. Both climate change sceptics and advocates of climate policy see this question as important; sharing a faith that scientific evidence is the basis for public policy.

However, such a faith omits the possibility that science is not suited to such a role, and that "solving" climate change does not flow linearly from agreement on the science. Statement on climate change from 18 scientific associations "Observations throughout the world make it clear that climate change is occurring, and rigorous scientific research demonstrates that the greenhouse gases emitted by human activities are the primary driver.".

‘Fake news’ or ‘inconvenient truth’? The global community agreed in the Paris Climate Agreement to recognise climate change as man-made and work together on a common response. Along with scientific skepticism, the Scientific Method is a cornerstone of scientific inquiry.

It is quite straightforward; basically a process wherein a hypothesis is defined, and then confirmed.

Climate change - Wikipedia